Monday, September 22, 2014
How should we respond to the Ebola virus threat?
We Australians live in an exceptionally safe country compared
with many others today (and compared with our own in times gone by) when it
comes to serious infectious diseases.
Our immunisation programs have succeeded brilliantly against
whooping cough, polio and the other diseases of childhood.
The basics of public health -- clean water and waste disposal --
are secure in urban and much of rural Australia. Huge gains in life expectancy
have followed.
We no longer need the rituals and beliefs to comfort us as did
families in Victorian England when the death of children from infections was
commonplace. We are not a society facing the loss of 16 million deaths of
combatants and civilians as happened in World War I, followed by about 50
million more who lost their lives from the larger scourge of H1N1 influenza in
1918.
Being unaccustomed to catastrophe, especially those due to
infections, it is understandable that we are shocked and frightened by the
current outbreak of Ebola virus in West Africa.
Well, even if we aren't ourselves, then at least a friend of
mine is. This man, a retired, successful and highly intelligent businessman
living in the north-east of the US, recently cancelled his summer holiday in
the south of France.
You can read about the fascinating history and virology of Ebola on
Wikipedia. The virus was named after the river in the Democratic Republic of
the Congo (then Zaire) where it was first isolated in 1976. The current
outbreak in West Africa is the first recorded for that area.
On 8 August, the WHO declared the outbreak to be an
international public health emergency.
As of 21 August, the WHO reported there had been 2473 cases of
Ebola virus in places such as Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria, and Sierra Leone, and
1350 people had died from the disease.
Infectious agents can kill in epidemics by being highly lethal
and highly contagious. Highly lethal infections that are not contagious do not
create epidemics.
Viruses that spread by airborne droplets such as influenza are
highly contagious, but many forms of flu are benign because their pathogenicity
is low.
It is only when a strain of influenza that has high lethality
and is highly contagious -- such as the H1N1 influenza that followed World War
I -- is circulating abroad that serious flu epidemics occur.
In the case of Ebola, there is high lethality associated with
human infection. About half of the reported cases see the patient die due to
massive cytokine disruptions to the vascular tree. But bodily contact, or
contact with bodily fluids, is necessary for infection.
The Ebola virus does not mutate rapidly -- it's 100 times slower
than influenza A and about the same as hepatitis B. If we could develop a
vaccine, it would not be quickly out-of-date.
So what should we, in Australia, do? First, we need to ensure
our surveillance strategies are sound and in place, concentrating especially on
plane arrivals of people from West Africa.
Second, we need quarantined treatment facilities available to
effectively manage cases.
Two US medical attendants, Kent Brantly and Nancy Writebol, who
were exposed to Ebola while treating patients in Liberia were repatriated by
air on 2 August to a special facility at Emory Hospital in Atlanta, built with
the Centers for Disease Control. The US is thus taking seriously the
possibility of treating patients with Ebola on its shores. So should we.
Third, we should, as a nation, contribute what we can to the
advancement of scientific understanding of this threat, with an eye on
antiviral therapy and vaccine development.
Australia's response has been appropriate to date, but we still
do not have a national centre for disease control.
The surveillance networks that we have are generally adequate,
but relatively informal and for a nation of our wealth, aspiring to
international leadership, 'adequate' is not the word that comes to mind as an
expression of appropriate ambition or responsiveness.
Professor
Leeder is a member of the Menzies Centre for Health Policy at the University of
Sydney, chair of the Western Sydney Local Health District Board, and
editor-in-chief of the Medical Journal of
Australia.
Published in Australian Doctor 26 July 2014 http://bit.ly/ZEx5FW
Thursday, September 11, 2014
WHY CO-PAYMENTS ARE NOT ALL GOOD
In
celebrating the one-year survival of the Abbott government former prime
minister John Howard was reported to have asked why, if we have co-payments on
pharmaceuticals, we should not have one on general practice. Five reasons stand
out.
First,
the co-pays on prescription drugs stop poorer people from accessing to them.
Ask general practitioners. Extending co-pays to general practice compounds
rather than solves this problem.
Second,
seeing a doctor for a health worry is different to filling a script. A
consultation with a doctor may dissipate the worry without further cost or
action.
Third,
a timely, uninhibited consultation for the first symptom – chest pain, let’s
say – of a serious problem may save a life and nip the progress of a disabling
illness. Co-payments diminish easy access for less affluent Australians to
general practice
Fourth,
a consultation may lead to preventive changes – quitting smoking, behaviour
modification, stopping unnecessary medications – that are positive investments,
not sunk costs. Co-pays that inhibit
preventive consultations diminish the chance of a healthy life.
Fifth,
many general practitioners in poorer parts of the country who entirely
bulk-bill do not have the financial systems to raise fees. The logistics of collecting and remitting a
co-payment could drive them out of business.
Maybe
the co-pays on pharmaceuticals are a public policy error that permits gouging
of pharmaceutical prices and diminishes the search for efficiency in drug
supply. Rather than asking where else we can impose a co-payment, the question
should be, “We don’t have co-payments on general practitioner bulk-billed
consultations, so why should we have them on prescribed pharmaceuticals?’
By
way of postscript, the current debate about how much the Medicare levy
contributes to health care costs is informed by figures from the federal
minister that are all wrong.
ASSESSING VALUE BEFORE DEMOLISHING
In the current confusion in health that has followed from a
swath of defunding, abolitions, co-payments and diminished Commonwealth funding,
it is easy to lose sight of the needs of the individual patient.
Typically and increasingly, the people who need our health care
have a combination of problems such as diabetes and heart disease requiring concerted
attention from hospitals, community nurses, general practitioners and
community-based specialists. We do not have the firm evidence to say how best
to do this, and hence in NSW the state minister for health, Jillian Skinner,
has allocated $130m over 3 years to test out alternate ways of achieving this
end. Recently Medibank Private and other
private insurers have expressed interest in testing strategies using community
nurses to achieve the best alignment of care for our typical patient.
One of the casualties of the federal slashing has been what
was called a Medicare Local, an organisation established by the previous government
to create an environment of support for general practitioners and the long-term
care of patients with chronic problems.
Their function was patchy, as expected from new entities, but where they
worked they worked well. But the decision was taken recently to scrap all 61
and start again, with different, fewer entities called primary health
networks. Demolition and rebuilding is
an expensive hobby.
In NSW, where we have 17 hospital districts or networks,
there were 16 Medicare Locals. While the
match was imperfect, you get the drift.
In places such as western Sydney, fortune favoured us and the Medicare
Local and the hospital district covered the same geographic area – from Mt
Druitt to the Hills to Parramatta and Auburn.
Good things followed in coordinating care and hospitals and community
practitioners learning to work together – for the good of the patient.
The document that evaluates the Medicare Locals concedes the
value of a one-on-one relationship but envisions larger organisations combining
the roles of smaller Medicare Locals.
What a pity. We know from past experience that the size of the NSW
health districts is just about optimal – make them bigger and they are a
managerial nightmare; make them smaller and you lose economy of scale. Each has a degree of local identity and that
identity is reflected in the Medicare Locals that serve the community especially
when the overlap is complete.
If the federal minister wishes to experiment with how to
meet the needs of the patient with chronic problems, why not leave NSW as it is
and try out different models in other states such as Victoria that has no fewer
than 90 hospital networks. Or
Queensland. He has encouraged private insurers
to experiment so why not his own ministry?
Tearing up the crop before it has had a chance to bear fruit
is expensive and wasteful. Even more so
with Medicare Locals. Of course many of
them can benefit from more energetic and focussed management, but there is no
monopoly on that. Let the plants grow. We’ll find out soon enough whether the NSW
model – one Medicare Local per hospital network – is the best way to go or
whether we have been trumped by the Victorians again.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)